Putin and Netanyahu have built a relationship based on mutual understanding if not agreement. How does Syria fit in?
By: Daniel Krygier, World Israel News
Israel has been frequently criticized for its military intervention in Syria. Those opposing it claim that this policy increasingly puts Jerusalem on a collision course with Russia. However, critics ignore the dangers of not enforcing Israel’s red lines in Syria.
Iran’s genocidal regime demands Israel’s destruction and supports terrorist organizations Hezbollah in the north and Hamas in the south. A further Iranian entrenchment in Syria would constitute a grave and unacceptable threat to the Jewish state’s national security. It was recently revealed that the Iranian drone that was neutralized by the Israeli Air force after violating Israeli airspace two months ago was equipped with explosives.
While Russia is a superpower, Moscow has no interest in an escalation with Jerusalem. President Vladimir Putin is fully aware of Israel’s military capabilities and vital security needs. Like Iran, Russia’s presence in Syria is driven by imperial ambitions. However, unlike Iran, Russia’s imperial ambitions do not constitute a direct threat to Israel. Moscow’s main interest in Syria is to maintain its naval military base in the Syrian port Tartus. It is the Russian Navy’s only base in the Mediterranean and enables replenishment for Russian ships without heading to Russian Black Sea ports through volatile Turkish straits.
Israel can live with a Russian presence in Syria, but not with a menacing Iran on its doorstep. Russia has deployed its relatively limited military assets in Syria to defend the Assad regime, which Moscow sees as an insurance policy against Islamists threatening Russia’s Mediterranean strategic assets.
Russia has no interest in a military confrontation between Iran and Israel in Syria. Moscow’s disapproval of Israel’s alleged air strike on an Iranian military base in Syria is Moscow’s way of trying to cool down the tension on the ground by offering face-saving support to its formal Iranian ally. Unlike Israel, Iran is an imperial competitor to Russia in Syria. Jerusalem and Moscow therefore have a shared interest in preventing Iran from becoming the dominant power in Syria.
In recent years, Putin and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu have built a relationship based on mutual understanding if not agreement. Like Israel’s Middle Eastern enemies, Russia only respects military power and countries willing to defend their red lines. Russia’s and Israel’s national interests will never converge in Syria or elsewhere. However, Russia understands that defending Moscow’s assets in Syria requires taking Israel’s vital security interests into consideration.
普京和内塔尼亚胡建立了基于相互理解的关系,如果没有达成协议的话。叙利亚如何适应?
按:Daniel Krygier,以色列新闻世界
以色列在叙利亚的军事干预经常受到批评。反对这一政策的人声称,这一政策日益使耶路撒冷同俄罗斯发生冲突。然而,批评者忽视了叙利亚不执行以色列红线的危险。
伊朗的种族灭绝的政权要求以色列的破坏和支持恐怖组织真主党和哈马斯在北方在南方。在叙利亚的一个进一步的伊朗防御将构成对犹太国家的国家安全的严重威胁。最近有人透露,以色列空军在两个月前侵犯以色列领空后被以色列空军压制,并装有炸药。
虽然俄罗斯是一个超级大国,但莫斯科对耶路撒冷的升级毫无兴趣。Vladimir Putin总统充分意识到以色列的军事能力和重要的安全需要。和伊朗一样,俄罗斯在叙利亚的存在是由帝国野心所驱使的。然而,与伊朗不同,俄罗斯的帝国野心并不构成对以色列的直接威胁。在叙利亚莫斯科的主要兴趣是保持在叙利亚港口塔尔图斯的海军军事基地。这是俄罗斯海军在Mediterranean的唯一基地,为俄罗斯船只提供补给,而不会通过动荡的土耳其海峡前往俄罗斯黑海港口。
以色列可以与俄罗斯在叙利亚的存在生活在一起,但不能与威胁伊朗在其门口。俄罗斯在叙利亚部署了相对有限的军事资产,以捍卫阿萨德政权,莫斯科认为这是针对伊斯兰主义者威胁俄罗斯Mediterranean战略资产的一项保险政策。
俄罗斯对伊朗和以色列在叙利亚的军事对抗不感兴趣。莫斯科反对以色列对叙利亚的伊朗军事基地发动空袭,是莫斯科试图通过对伊朗正式盟友提供面子支持来缓和当地紧张局势的方式。与以色列不同,伊朗是叙利亚在俄罗斯的帝国竞争者。因此,耶路撒冷和莫斯科有共同利益,防止伊朗成为叙利亚的主导力量。
近年来,普京和本雅明·内塔尼亚胡总理建立了相互理解的关系,如果没有达成协议的话。与以色列的中东敌人一样,俄罗斯只尊重军事力量和愿意保卫自己红线的国家。俄罗斯和以色列的国家利益永远不会在叙利亚或其他地方汇合。然而,俄罗斯明白,捍卫莫斯科在叙利亚的资产,需要考虑到以色列的重大安全利益